Genomic Stratification

Prognostic and predictive genomic factors for Lu-177-PSMA therapy based on current literature (2022-2025).

Evidence Update: Current data shows DDR mutations (BRCA, ATM) are NOT predictive of improved Lu-177-PSMA monotherapy outcomes. Combined TP53/RB1/PTEN loss predicts aggressive disease with shorter PFS/OS. AR amplification may indicate early progression risk.

Genomic Profile Input

Evidence-Based 2024

Enter results from germline/somatic testing or liquid biopsy. Select "Unknown" if not tested.

DNA Damage Repair (DDR) Genes Not Predictive for Monotherapy

Satapathy 2022 & Privé 2021: No significant improvement in PSA response, PFS, or OS vs DDR-wildtype

Tumor Suppressor Genes Prognostic Markers

Ofner 2025: Combined TP53/RB1/PTEN loss correlates with shorter PFS (4.1 vs 8.2 mo) and OS (9.8 vs 16.3 mo)

NEPC risk if combined with TP53 loss

Androgen Receptor Pathway

Jacob 2021: Lu-177-PSMA remains effective in AR-V7+

De Giorgi 2021: May predict early progression

Population Context

Suh 2025: Genomic patterns vary by ancestry

Enter Genomic Data

Complete the form to see evidence-based stratification with risk assessment.

Based on current literature (2022-2025)

Evidence-Based Scientific Background

DNA Damage Repair (DDR) Mutations Current Evidence Does Not Support Superior Outcomes

Evidence Update (2022-2025): Multiple retrospective studies show no significant difference in PSA response, PFS, or OS between DDR-mutated and wild-type tumors treated with Lu-177-PSMA monotherapy.

Satapathy et al. (2022)

Study of 15 mCRPC patients: 67% had DDR mutations (ATM, BRCA2, TP53, PTEN). No significant difference in: • PSA50 response (67% vs 60%) • Median PFS (5.8 vs 6.1 months) • Median OS (11.2 vs 12.1 months)

Privé et al. (2021)

Study of 40 patients: DDR+ (BRCA1/2, ATM) vs DDR- showed similar: • PSA50 response (59% vs 65%) • Median PFS (5.9 vs 6.4 months) • Median OS (11.1 vs 10.7 months)

Clinical Implication: DDR mutations do NOT predict enhanced response to Lu-177-PSMA monotherapy. However, they remain important for:

  • PARP inhibitor combinations: Ongoing trials (NCT03874884) testing olaparib + Lu-177-PSMA
  • Germline implications: BRCA1/2 mutations have hereditary cancer risk implications
  • Theoretical radiosensitivity: Preclinical models show enhanced effect, not yet clinically validated

TP53, RB1, PTEN - Combined Prognostic Impact Strong Prognostic Markers

Ofner et al. (2025): Multi-center study showing combined TP53/RB1/PTEN loss correlates with significantly shorter outcomes after Lu-177-PSMA therapy.

Genomic Pattern Median PFS Median OS Clinical Risk
TP53+RB1+PTEN loss (triple) 4.1 months 9.8 months Very High
TP53+RB1 loss (dual) 5.2 months 11.3 months High
None of above 8.2 months 16.3 months Standard

RB1 Loss & NEPC Risk

Ajkunic 2024 & Hong 2024: RB1 loss drives neuroendocrine differentiation: • 10-20% of heavily treated mCRPC develop NEPC • PSMA downregulation common • Consider alternative targets: DLL3, CEACAM5, TROP2 • Monitor chromogranin A, NSE

AR Amplification Risk

De Giorgi 2021: AR amplification in plasma cfDNA: • Associated with shorter OS (7.6 vs 15.8 months) • May predict early progression • Consider serial liquid biopsy monitoring • AR-driven tumors often maintain PSMA expression

Treatment-Induced Genomic Evolution

Key Finding: Lu-177-PSMA and other therapies drive clonal evolution and genomic alterations during treatment.

Mechanisms of Evolution

  • Treatment-emergent NEPC: RB1/TP53 dual loss in 10-20% of CRPC
  • Clonal selection: Radiation eliminates sensitive clones
  • Secondary alterations: New DDR, PI3K, Wnt mutations
  • PSMA heterogeneity: Spatial/temporal PSMA variation

Monitoring Recommendations

  • Serial liquid biopsy: CTC RNAseq or cfDNA at progression (Sharifi 2025)
  • NEPC markers: Chromogranin A, NSE if RB1 loss
  • PSMA-PET: Repeat if discordant response
  • Alternative imaging: DOTATATE PET for suspected NEPC

Clinical Suspicion for NEPC: Rapid visceral progression, rising chromogranin/NSE, low PSA relative to disease burden, discordant PSMA-PET findings.

Ethnic/Genomic Context Considerations

Suh et al. (2025): Genomic alteration prevalence varies significantly by ancestry, affecting PSMA expression and therapeutic response patterns.

Asian Patients

• Lower TP53/PTEN rates
• Higher FOXA1/SPOP

European Patients

• Trial populations
• Standard reference

African Patients

• Different AR variants
• Population-specific DDR

Key Evidence References (2022-2025)

DDR Mutation Evidence: • Satapathy S et al. (2022) - No significant benefit in DDR-mutated tumors
• Privé BM et al. (2021) - Similar outcomes DDR+ vs DDR-
• Filippi L et al. (2022) - Systematic review of 7 studies

Prognostic Factors: • Ofner H et al. (2025) - Combined TP53/RB1/PTEN loss predicts poor outcomes
• De Giorgi U et al. (2021) - AR amplification predicts early progression
• Ajkunic A et al. (2024) - NEPC transformation and alternative targets

Evolution & Monitoring: • Sharifi MN et al. (2025) - CTC RNAseq for lineage phenotypes
• Hong YC et al. (2024) - NEPC subtypes and biomarkers
• Suh M et al. (2025) - Ethnic genomic differences

Treatment Selection: • Jacob A et al. (2021) - AR-V7 and Lu-177-PSMA efficacy
• Militaru FC et al. (2023) - Biomarker validation studies
• Yanagisawa T et al. (2023) - Emerging systemic treatments

Alternative Targeted Therapies Based on Genomic Profile

Consider these options for specific genomic profiles or treatment-resistant disease.

DDR Mutations (BRCA, ATM)
  • • PARP inhibitors (olaparib, rucaparib)
  • • PARP + Lu-177-PSMA trials (NCT03874884)
  • • Consider platinum chemotherapy
Evidence: Satapathy 2022, Privé 2021, Filippi 2022
RB1 Loss / NEPC Risk
  • • Platinum + etoposide chemotherapy
  • • DLL3-targeted therapies (tarlatamab)
  • • Lu-DOTATATE (if somatostatin receptor+)
  • • TROP2/CEACAM5 targeting
Evidence: Ajkunic 2024, Hong 2024, Bergamini 2022
AR Pathway Alterations
  • • Novel ARATs (darolutamide)
  • • AR degraders (PROTACs)
  • • AR-V7-directed therapies
  • • Continuation of effective ARATs
Evidence: De Giorgi 2021, Jacob 2021, Militaru 2023
Clinical Trial Considerations
NCT03874884: PARP inhibitor + Lu-177-PSMA
NCT04647526: DLL3-targeted therapy in NEPC
NCT05146973: TROP2-ADC in PSMA-low disease
NCT04821622: Novel AR degraders